Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Parts Ordering Process: "A Lost Art"

One of the reasons for the title of this month's issue of "Smart Parts" may take a few of us back quite a few years when ordering, receipting and stocking parts wasn't as easy as it is today.

Creating a stock order was definitely a challenge as Inventory Management Systems, (I.M.S.) were just evolving in the late 70's to early 80's.

Prior to the computer age, creating a stock order was more like "writing" a stock order, then combining these normal stock parts with customer orders.

Many of us may still remember walking the parts aisles and writing down "tagged" parts that may be or close to a stock out situation.

I don't think the younger Parts Managers today could even fathom running a parts department prior to the computer age. About the only electronic device we had back then was a "teletype" machine to transmit the orders, which replaced mailing in the stock and customer orders.

Parts order "answer backs" rolled out almost like a ticker tape on special rolled paper instead of over a computer screen a couple times a day. The parts manager would then make appropriate order changes pending availability in the parts distribution chain.

Parts orders were then picked up at the local Parts Distribution Center, (P.D.C.) via a "will call" pick up order which our own drivers picked up each order. Cross shipped parts would take days to arrive by mail or perhaps even U.P.S.

The first computers used in the parts department were actually used for transmitting data to the manufacturer such as financial data, new vehicle orders, new vehicle invoices and warranty claims submission.

It was also used to transmit parts orders with data saved to a cassette tape and downloaded to the manufacturer each night.

The hardest part of managing an inventory back then was the time lapse between stock orders which could be only once or twice a month. As you could imagine, these long lead times made it difficult in calculating a decent days supply.

One of the only advantages we had back then was that a majority of part numbers had multi-year model coverages. This allowed for better stock order performance with less part numbers and a higher days supply to get through those long lead times.

The biggest difference that I see comparing the parts ordering and receipting process back in the day versus today is that it seemed more "hands on" back then.

Don't misunderstand me, I was extremely happy when the computer age hit the modern day parts department. I just think we learned a lot of "common sense" parts department practices that his remained with us to this day.

Remembering bin locations, part numbers, superseded part numbers and part group numbers were just a few things that were grilled into us. Replaced down the road by much more efficient  Electronic Parts Cataloging, much of those older practices have also become extinct.

Even part numbers have changed over the years. Back in the day, part numbers actually meant something as often times, you wouldn't even have to look up the part number. The part number would include the type of part, year, make and model of each particular part. 

Leading up to where we are today, what have we really learned and how have these changes over the years effected how we order, receipt and stock the right parts at the right time? I, for one believe these changes have really impacted our current parts department practices.

In many cases, we have lost control of the parts ordering process with many manufacturers offering stock replenishment programs. Many Parts Managers today totally "trust" the manufacturer with their stocking parameters and the dealers' money.

Even though these manufacturers totally control the amount of earned discounts and allowances that a parts manager can earn, should they really control the parts manager's purchasing power? Should they really tell a parts manager what to stock and what not to stock?

I agree that there are a lot of advantages to these programs, but I don't believe that they should totally replace the Parts Manager's common sense decisions within each dealership.

Inventory protection in controlling  obsolescence is definitely important, but should it be the number one reason for trusting the manufacturer with your money?

After all, isn't the real number one reason for stocking the right parts at the right time is to avoid obsolescence in the first place? Shouldn't our number one goal be "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate" and profitability? What could this loss of control and parts ordering "Lost Art" lead to?

I believe that this loss of control can lead to many potential concerns in how a Parts Manager controls the inventory. One of the most prevalent area that I see in reviewing many dealers' Monthly Management Reports is Outstanding Orders.

Often times, I see Monthly Management Reports show these Outstanding Orders in excess of 25% of the total inventory value! What does this mean and what effect does it have on the whole scope of things?

Keep in mind that each dealers' Inventory Management System, (I.M.S.) can only control and manage information or data going in and going out. "Garbage In & Garbage Out"....

If the Parts Manager doesn't properly manage these Outstanding Orders, the I.M.S. will not reorder parts at the Best Reorder Point, (B.R.P.) up to the Best Stocking Level, (B.S.L.). If parts are manually receipted without using the proper order or control number, that order still remains outstanding.

This means, in many cases that the I.M.S. will not suggest new orders until outstanding orders have been receipted or relieved. Once again, my fears realized as many Parts Managers are turning over their inventory control and money to the manufacturer. 

Overall, I am definitely "IN" on all these new innovations and advancements to our industry overall, but I really think they should all be taken in the proper perspective. Managing the parts inventory will always require common sense solutions and common sense inventory management.

No matter what lies ahead, I believe that our ultimate goals well never change. Achieving a "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate" of at least 85% or more will increase overall shop productivity, great true and gross turn numbers, high customer retention and gross profits at or above expected levels. 


Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com

















Friday, May 8, 2015

May 2015: "Do I Really Need To Post Emergency Purchases?"

Here we go again!...

Another one of those great questions that I hear from Parts Managers quite often. Much like Lost Sales, reporting Emergency Purchases carries many different "perceived" definitions by Parts Managers.

What is an Emergency Purchase anyway....and why should we even have any nowadays? You would think that with today's technology, dedicated deliveries by the manufacturer, stock replenishment programs and a vast array of inventory resources that we should never have an Emergency Purchase.

Not only that, why even bother with posting Emergency Purchases when it really doesn't have any effect on my I.M.S. (Inventory Management System)? No effect on inventory turns, overall off shelf fill rates, sales activity cycles or even phase-in/phase-out criteria....so why bother?

I once had a conversation with a Parts Manager on this topic of Emergency Purchases. I had to first determine what his definition of an Emergency Purchase actually was. To do this, I had to actually create a scenario of a "stock out" situation and ask him if these particular scenarios qualify as Emergency Purchase situations.

These scenarios, which I will detail shortly as Scenario A and Scenario B, will have only one minor difference within the same particular situation. The amazing thing is how the outcome changes with this one minor difference within the scenarios.

Here we go......

Scenario A:

Technician comes to the back parts counter and requests a set of front brake pads for a particular vehicle model that the parts department does not stock. The vehicle is technically in a "car down" situation and the Service Advisor wants the parts department to try and locate the brake pads.

The parts counter person locates the set of brake pads at another dealer location within an acceptable distance and "chases down" the brake pads. So my obvious question to this Parts Manager was..."Does this situation qualify for receipting and posting the brake pads as an Emergency Purchase?"

His answer was an obvious "Yes". Great!....we both agree...

Scenario B:

Every part of this second scenario is the same as the first except that when the parts counter person starts calling around to try and locate the brake pads, no other dealer stocks the brake pads.

The Service Advisor asks the counter person if they can get these brake pads overnight on the daily stock order and the answer was "yes", so the brake pads are ordered overnight.

So now....I ask this Parts Manager the same question as in Scenario A. "Does this situation qualify for receipting and posting the brake pads as an Emergency Purchase?"

This time his answer was "No". Hmmm....this time we disagree....

I asked him why it wasn't an Emergency Purchase in this case and he simply said that it was no longer an Emergency Purchase because it was being ordered on his daily stock order. Now I'm really confused because in my opinion, the situation didn't really change, only the source of where the part was coming from changed.

So why does this matter anyway?

First of all, there are only two reasons why we don't have a part on the shelf. Either we stock the part and ran out, or we never stocked it in the first place because the part never met phase in criteria.

In  my opinion, this is where it all starts with our definition of what an Emergency Purchase truly is. Current NADA guidelines indicate that Emergency Purchases should be only 10% or less of total our parts purchases at cost.

We all know that we do have Emergency Purchases and posting these receipts honestly and properly can give Parts Managers a world of information even though posting them will not change a lot of information on the Inventory Management System.

Whether I stocked the brake pads and just ran out, or even if I never stocked the brake pads in the first place, receipting them as an Emergency Purchase could provide valuable information.

 Information that could eventually lead to my future decision making process going forward concerning possible adjustments to my days supply or even my phase-in criteria in various parts sources.

Even though the demand was still filled and there was no real lost sale, shouldn't I be concerned about the "car down" situation and lost productivity in the shop while waiting for these brake pads to arrive? These are the questions that should concern me. Maybe having that added information could be vital.

If I am honest and have a clear definition of these situations, I can manage my Emergency Purchases Report and gain some insight as to any changes or modifications that may be necessary in my Set Ups & Controls. Especially if these Emergency Purchases exceed the NADA guidelines of 10% or less.

In my opinion, reporting "potential" Emergency Purchases is just as important as reporting "actual" Emergency Purchases. Common sense is not so common sometimes as we seem to get caught up with all these restrictive definitions instead of throwing caution to the wind and just getting the information into the system where we can make logical determinations and decisions when needed.

One other thing is for sure...a failure to report Emergency Purchases honestly will definitely impact your "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate". There should be no debate in the fact that not having the part the first time upon request, this rate will drop and so will shop productivity.

To me, it's all about the customer and providing the best customer service as possible. Actually, after reviewing the above scenarios, I don't think that customer really cares if I ran out of those brake pads or if I even stocked them in the first place. They just want their vehicle repaired and back on the road within a reasonable time frame.

In conclusion, Emergency Purchases do cost us money in lost gross profits and lost shop productivity so it does make sense to track and control them as much as possible. It all begins with an honest and direct reporting system. If we don't, we are only fooling ourselves in order to make the numbers look good.

So, if your Emergency Purchases are non existent, or at a very low percentage, you might want to reconsider what this information can really provide. Don't fool yourself or your dealer if you think you don't have Emergency Purchases because they are there, whether they are reported or not.

Honest reporting leads to honest results...


Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com




























Wednesday, April 15, 2015

April 2015: "Do I Really Need To Post Lost Sales?"

If there is one parts topic that has been beat to death in my opinion, it has to be Lost Sales Reporting. Even though this is my belief, I still feel it deserves another look, but in a different light.

For years, reporting lost sales has been a key part of tracking total parts demands in the parts department. Other than actual parts sales, lost sales are the only other way we can report total demands in the Dealer Management System, (D.M.S.) which is crucial in setting phase-in and phase out parameters.

Not very long ago, I was talking to a Parts Manager about this very subject and I had noticed that he literally had no lost sales reported on his most recent Monthly Analysis Report. When I commented on the lack of reporting, he began to back his reasoning as to why there were no lost sales reported.

His first words were..."Do I really need to post lost sales?" At first, I couldn't believe he asked me that question because of the importance of tracking every possible demand. What surprised me even more was he followed his question with a comment saying...."I really don't have any lost sales, we fill every order"!

My belief is that there always has and always will be lost sales in the Parts Department, it's just a matter of how many of these lost sales go unreported. This may be one of the reasons why this particular Parts Manager also had a very low "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate", low gross profit margins and low shop productivity.

So!...why are we beating this topic down again?

I recently met with another Parts Manager and after a review of his Monthly Analysis Report, he also had a "less than desired" percentage of lost sales reported. The major difference was all other guidelines on the Monthly Analysis either met or exceeded expectations, especially his "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate" and gross profit margins.

This definitely got my attention and I started to wonder if there may be a hidden silver lining to what the first Parts Manager was saying, even though my belief system hasn't changed on lost sales reporting.

What I did find out was there were a couple of similarities in both these scenarios with these two different Parts Managers with two different results. Even though they both were lacking in the lost sales reporting category, they both had the same manufacturers' stock replenishment program and both also utilized it 100%, in lieu of using the Set Ups & Controls on their D.M.S.

So, what am I missing here?.....

As we continued our conversation with the second Parts Manager, I had to ask him how he managed to meet or surpass all these areas of industry guidelines and he basically told me that his manufacturers stock replenishment program takes care of most stocking concerns.

Items such as phase-in, phase-out, stocking levels, days supply, best stocking levels and best reorder points are all controlled by the manufacturer.

Even if a Parts Manager does utilize the manufacturer's stock replenishment program to it's full extent, he or she can still run a Lost Sales Report on their own D.M.S.. These individual dealer demands could then be added to the manufacturer's stock order, while still maintaining the manufacturer's compliance guidelines.

In addition, many manufacturers also include lost sales reporting in their stock replenishment programs to allow Parts Managers to report these demands. The question I have though is how many of these Parts Managers do report these lost sales through their manufacturer and how many are still being missed?

He further added that he also has "vendor specific" aftermarket warehouses very close to his dealership so if a "stock-out" situation does occurs, a potential lost sale can be avoided as this actually becomes an extension of his own inventory without the investment as well as acquisition and holding costs.

One could argue that there still must be "lost sales" out there that are just going unrecorded, but the facts make it pretty hard to debate. I even went as far as checking the dealers current shop productivity, which was over 90%, which could be better, but still not that bad

Are we possibly seeing a revelation in this case, or are we still missing something? Even though this isn't the first time that I have had a Parts Manager tell me that they don't really have lost sales, this particular one is different from all the previous. This is the first to prove to me with numbers and facts to back it up.

Could it be possible that this may be the formula to finally take away all those answers to the age old question..."What's the true definition of a Lost Sale?"

One thing it does tell me is that it IS possible to actually have a "limited" amount of lost sales and still have a respectable "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rate". Although, this can only be backed up by facts when reviewing the Parts Monthly Management Report. 

Even though I am actively involved in both parts and service training, analyzing the parts department has always been "black & white". No opinions, just the facts as revealed in Monthly Management Report when it comes to analyzing the inventory management side.

In my opinion, this all boils down to the fact that the second Parts Manager has achieved great results, even though his lost sales reporting may be a little less than desired. Although, he still believes in reporting lost sales and that there will always be lost sales.

As far as the first Parts Manager who doesn't even "believe" that he needs to report lost sales? Well, I guess that may be one of the reasons for his low "First Time Off Shelf Fill Rates", lower shop productivity and lower parts gross retention. Remember...parts is "black & white" and no opinions, it either is or isn't what it is.

One thing I believe is a misconception by most, reporting lost sales is actually a good thing, not a bad thing. It can only assist the Parts Manager, or manufacturer track more demands and provide a better level of service to the customer, higher service shop productivity and higher profits.

I have always maintained that my definition of "Lost Sales" actually translates to me as "Potential Missed Opportunities". If we fail to take advantage of this inventory management tool, we lose the opportunity to better serve our customers and achieve higher profits.

Many Parts Managers may still have many different definitions as to what they believe qualifies a lost sale in the first place, but one thing remains true....there will always be lost sales. So, whatever your opinion may be when it comes to reporting lost sales, you may want to look at your Monthly Management Report before you "re-ask" yourself...


"Do I Really Need To Post Lost Sales?"


Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com





























Tuesday, March 3, 2015

Parts Call Centers: "The Next Wave In Parts"

Keeping up with our ever changing industry can be quite tasking at times and I have often overlooked some of the most obvious changes going on right in front of my eyes.

 The topic for this month's issue of "Smart Parts" came to me during a casual conversation with a very good friend of mine who works for a dealership "Parts Call Center".

I would also like to add that Rick is one of the best at his craft and is always at the top in sales and gross numbers each and every month in this dealership's "Parts Call Center". Overall parts knowledge and years of experience is irreplaceable.

As he was updating me with his success stories and sales achievements, it dawned on me that I did see this coming a few years back when I developed our ACG Parts "Call Distribution Center", (C.D.C.) Program.

I also remembered how extensive and detailed the program had to be in order to be successful in any market in the U.S. and Canada.

In my opinion, implementing a "Parts Call Center" requires so much more in the way of logistics than your typical Sales or Service Business Development Centers, (B.D.C.) in many automotive dealerships today.

One of the biggest differences is the "skill sets" that are required in "Parts Call Center". They involve more than just phone skills, script training and a list of customers to stay in contact with.

Having the right parts personnel with the right parts "know how" in providing the right parts is crucial. In some cases, there is no substitute for experience and this is one of those cases.


So...what are the guidelines to implementing a successful "Parts Call Center?"


First of all, before we get to the guidelines and implementation part...let's look at some of the benefits to having a "Parts Call Center" in the first place. I believe there are a few HUGE benefits right out of the gate. Even though there are many to follow as we will review, here are the big three...

When I was developing our ACG "Smart Parts" Call Distribution Center Program, (C.D.C.) the math revealed that the parts staffing metrics in the "Smart Parts" C.D.C. Program resulted in a minimum personnel cost reduction of 25%.

Most parts sales are realized from incoming phone calls and the centralized location lessons the need for increased parts staff versus individual dealer parts locations.

In the dealership, technicians also benefit as their "back counter" parts staff is dedicated to them 100% and not answering phone calls. In dealership overall staffing is reduced because the only needs left in the store are front and back counter staff. 

Second, overall parts sales and gross numbers rose as well due to the higher call efficiency from experienced parts personnel with fewer chances of "looking up the wrong parts". Less time on the phone results in higher efficiency, higher customer satisfaction and you guessed it....increased parts sales and gross! 

The third huge benefit is the stocking or "warehousing" of the parts shipped from the "Parts Call Center". Wholesale and retail parts are shipped to individual dealer locations from the call and distribution center as orders are placed.

Much like national aftermarket parts vendors do now to replenish their individual satellite location inventories.

As for the Parts Manager, all duties and responsibilities are shifted to the "Parts Call Center" including all Inventory Management Systems, (I.M.S.) functions such as;
  • Parts Ordering
  • Parts Receipting Updates From Individual Locations
  • Parts Pricing
  • Source Ranking
  • Phase-In/Phase-Out Parameters
  • Days Supply
  • General Shipping & Receiving
  • Account Management
Implementing a "Parts Call Center" does require a set of guidelines in order to be successful. These basic guidelines cannot be overlooked in the initial implementation and depending on individual logistics, more guidelines may need to be added. Here are some of the guidelines;
  • All "Parts Call Center" expenses are shared with all participating stores based on a percentage of overall annual parts sales averages. Percentage of shared expenses are updated annually and adjusted as required.
  • All parts incoming calls are directed to the "Parts Call Center". All orders placed will be distributed through the shared dealer warehouse or individual dealership for delivery. 
  • All "in-dealership" repair order parts and over the counter retail sales will resume as usual with less parts staff. Individual store parts inventory replenishment will be facilitated from the "Parts Call Center" if central warehouse is used.
  • All dealer groups' parts inventories will be linked in the group's computerized "shared network" for optimum "off shelf fill rates".
  • Obsolete inventories will be tracked by individual store and shared with all stores within the network. Inventory re-distribution on obsolete items to other stores in the network is encouraged if sales of obsolete inventory may become active again in another location.   


These are just a few guidelines that need to be considered or implemented when considering a "Parts Call Center" implementation. There are definitely many "positives" for dealer groups to contemplate a "Parts Call Center".

 Multiple stores and locations, individual dealers logistics, franchises and proximity all have to be taken into account for proper planning and implementation.

I believe that we will be seeing more and more "Parts Call Centers" as many dealers expand their operations and franchises. In addition to that, I believe Collision Centers, Insurance Companies and Manufacturers will continue to partner up and drive the need for centralized or "satellite" parts warehouses.

The future is already here as more and more of these "Parts Call Centers" are popping up right before our eyes! Even single line or "stand alone" dealers can benefit from implementing a "Parts Call Center". Adding a "Parts Call Center" to an existing dealership B.D.C. is not a bad idea!

Just watch, listen and count the number of phone calls coming into your parts department. Watch and see how long your technicians are standing and waiting to get their parts. Two or three technicians waiting for a parts person for 10-15 minutes can add up to a lots of "Lost Productivity"!

Time is a perishable inventory that we can never get back! It's time to get "out of the box" instead of just "thinking outside the box"......and we can help! 


Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com



Tuesday, February 17, 2015

February 2015: "Don't Wait...Fix It Now!"

Over the past two months we have researched a lot of data from NADA and Automotive News to give us an idea on how past performance can impact our future expectations. Our year end review revealed that our industry has taken great strives forward or perhaps better defined as a "significant comeback".

This past information from 2014 and beyond gave us a lot of information and trends that point to a welcomed upward trend in our industry. In many cases, forecasts for many dealers are much stronger than they have been for several years.

The present is what we live in and with all this information at our disposal, we should be able to adapt to changes in the marketplace much quicker than ever before. Actually, in most cases, if current trends don't indicate positive results, we have to move forward with changes or modifications.

One example that I can give to most "Smart Parts" Readers is the current life span of a part. Back before the millennium, it wasn't unusual for the life span of a given part could be several years. Today, it's also not unusual for the life span of a part to be less than one year. So how does this example or analogy apply to the theme of this blog?

Quite simply, we are one month into 2015 and for Parts Managers, that's one month of data that we have access to with our Dealer Management System, (D.M.S.) Monthly Management Reports as well as one month of Dealer Financials.

Managing a parts inventory is ongoing and requires constant maintenance. Phase-In/Phase-Out Criteria, Days Supply Set Ups, Lost Sales Reporting, Stocking Criteria, etc. need to be reviewed at least once a month when the Monthly Analysis Report becomes available on the first of each month. 

Even though new & used vehicle sales as well as parts and service sales can fluctuate from month to month with several variables such as selling days, weather, holidays, etc., the parts inventory's basic Set Ups & Controls need to be managed monthly. 

Upon review of these reports, modifications need to be made immediately based on results. A good example would be Lost Sales Reporting. If Lost Sales Reporting in January 2015 were less than 10% of total cost of sales?..."Don't Wait...Fix It Now!" A process should be in place to meet NADA Guidelines. It won't fix itself and we can't just hope it will get better.

Another example would be Customer Pay Parts Gross Retention...if the retention percentage is less than 40%?..."Don't Wait...Fix It Now!"

Adjustments need to be made in the parts escalation matrix to achieve expected levels. This is factual information and adjustments need to be made immediately. Don't wait and hope for it to fix itself.

There are many other Set Ups & Controls that provide crucial information such as Obsolescence Control, Days Supply, Overall Purchases including Promo Items, etc. All of which do not require a "wait and see" attitude.

One last area that needs direct attention each month is Expense Management. Personnel is our biggest expense and also requires constant review. Especially when, in many dealerships the survival of the Parts Department depends on other departments to create most of the gross in the first place. 

Trends and past results are great to look back on to compare performance. Industry forecasts are also great to give us targets and objectives, but neither will lead to predictable results unless we make the necessary modifications and changes based on current results, especially in the Parts Department. 

Combining all the above and staying informed is a great formula for success. Even though ACG "Smart Parts" was unable to attend this years NADA Convention due to other commitments, I did spend some time to review the agenda, schedules and topics that had my attention.

I was amazed, but not shocked that so many of the topics discussed in work shops, events and exhibits seem to share the same theme.

Once again, the information age led by social media including Twitter, Facebook, Linkedin, Ebay and Website Innovations seem to dominate all other topics, products or services. 

Even though many great products and services were well represented, the basics of providing great customer service never gets old. The combination of these best practices along with all the social media outlets is definitely the wave of the future.

Another "peek of interest" for me that has led me to more research is the definition of the different types of websites. New to me, but maybe not others that the definition of different websites such as; stand alone, adaptive and responsive can make a huge difference in how we stay in touch with customers.

Responsive websites are getting the most attention and appears to be the type of website preferred by Google. Customers are more engaged and have more interactivity with these type of sites and also have a higher response and purchase percentage than most conventional websites.

Looking ahead, I believe that more and more Parts Departments are going to be heading down this same road. Online ordering is already here as "shopping carts" are taking on a whole new meaning.

So, get your "aps" ready and your websites tuned up because the future is now!

The future looks very optimistic and if you wait....you just may miss some great opportunities.!


So....."Don't Wait...Fix It Now!"   

Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com

















Wednesday, January 7, 2015

Forecast 2015: "What Can We Expect?"

Forecasting any future event to some degree of accuracy requires a combination of current trends, past performance and applicable data. The purpose of forecasting itself gives us goals and guidelines moving forward into each day, month and year.

Weather forecasters also utilize current trends and an extreme amount data to forecast or "predict" future weather results, but their goal is to provide weather information in advance in order for us to prepare for future weather conditions.

As we move into 2015, ACG "Smart Parts" will take an in depth look at industry expectations this year and how it effects our own forecast projections. We will also "walk through" just how we can develop realistic and predictable forecasts that stretch our goals to the limits.

According to N.A.D.A. (National Automobile Dealers Association), there are well over 250 million vehicles currently in operation in the United States. This number has been pretty consistent since 2009, but the staggering statistic is that the average age of these units in operation his risen from 9.5 years to 11.5 years!

This figure alone gives the dealerships' fixed operations a boost as people are keeping, maintaining and repairing their vehicles for a longer period of time. Even more evidence how important customer retention is and where our focus should be.

Another N.A.D.A. statistic reveals that service and parts sales have also been climbing at a steady 5% each year since 2009. Although, service and parts sales are down 4% of the dealers total sales as vehicle sales have risen over 10% over the same period, which is also a good trend.

One of the most encouraging statistic from N.A.D.A. is the average dealer's net profit as a percentage of net worth is up 11% over the last five years. So even though the number of total new vehicle dealers has dropped significantly in recent years, they are much stronger financially.


"So how does this information help me in developing my forecast for 2015?"  


Building a forecast relies heavily on the market's ability to meet future forecasts. As mentioned in some of the above N.A.D.A. statistics, the trends are all pointed in the right direction for "aggressive forecasting" and building overall potential. Even though primary market areas, (P.M.A) may differ, the overall trend is pointing in the right direction.

With these trends moving in the right direction, it is not surprising that many dealers I know are expanding their operations, particularly in service. Increasing technician staff increases billable hours and overall labor sales as well as increasing parts sales. Increasing staff also allows the dealer to expand their hours of operation to nights and weekends.

As far as developing a parts department forecast, our research "rides" mostly on the forecasts of the other departments in the dealership. Other than "over the counter" retail and wholesale sales, parts sales are primarily generated through the service and sales departments.

Forecasting service parts sales depends highly, if not mostly on production capabilities. N.A.D.A.'s Annual Financial Profile also revealed that the average dealership's service department staffs 15 technicians with 20 bays and an average overall door rate or effective rate of just over $100.00.

Based on the above averages, at 100% productivity and an eight hour clock day for techs, this would result in 120.0 billed hours each day. At $100 average charge per hour, the result would be approximately $12,000.00 in total labor sales per day.

By utilizing these above statistics along with current productivity percentages and "parts to labor" ratios, I can set my service parts sales forecasts quite easily. If my "parts to labor" sales is 80% of my total labor sales, this would result in approximately $9,600.00 in service parts sales daily using the above sample.

I can actually take it one step further by breaking down the labor mix of customer pay, warranty and internal that would give me the exact forecast for service parts sales for each pay type. Again, all predicated from service departments ability to produce "billed hours". Service sells only time, which is a perishable inventory and we can never get it back. 

The above example holds true for forecasting accessory sales as new and used vehicle sales projections will ultimately determine our accessory parts sales. This is just another reason why forecasting should be a collective effort with all managers.

The last area of parts forecasting is the only one that the parts manager controls without other departments' participation and that is "over the counter" retail and wholesale sales. It is also the most impacted by individual dealers' primary market area and market trends.

Even though "over the counter" retail is usually our lowest sales category, "over the counter" or "back counter" wholesale sales have huge implications for some dealers. Manufacturer discounts and allowances are also profit centers for larger dealers and have to be forcasted. 

Wholesale sheet metal sales are getting tougher as insurance companies get closer and closer to direct purchases from the manufacturer. Profits are also almost non existent as competition grows, limiting profitability to earned discounts and allowances, much like new vehicle sales.

Forecasting these "over the counter" wholesale sales requires a lot of trend analysis, market research, expense management and a proper business plan to achieve predictable results. These forecasts also require the most aggressive approach due to the investment and logistics required to be profitable.

In closing, the most important reason to forecasting in the first place and if done properly, it gives us a goal to reach each day, month and year. Having a forecast helps us to achieve our goals and expectations. In my mind, there is no greater feeling than achieving these projected goals.


"Are You REALLY Ready For 2015?"..... 

Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com
























Thursday, December 4, 2014

2014: "The Year In Review"

Each year at ACG "Smart Parts", we dedicate our last issue of the year looking back at the year in review. From my perspective, not only do I enjoy "drilling down" the year in general, it's also kind of a "wake up" call. The year always seems to pass by so quickly and many times, we don't even know what hit us.

The "Year In Review" not only wakes me up, it prepares me for moving forward into the next year. The research helps to put everything into perspective and I would encourage all "Smart Parts" Readers to do the same. 

Before we get into some of the numbers, trends and overall analysis, I want to provide everyone with the sources I used in this research. Keep in mind, other than our own data here at ACG, all this information is readily available to everyone out there on the internet.

For years, N.A.D.A. (National Automotive Dealers Association) and Automotive News have been the standard resource for most dealers and I agree 100%. I will be just scratching the surface with some of this information sharing, but all of it is available online.

Resources:

NADA DATA   Annual Financial Profile 2014  www.nada.org.
Automotive News November 2014 Issue  www.automotivenews.com

Currently, there are 17,665 new car dealers in the United States with California and Texas leading the way with 1,377 and 1,210 dealers respectively. This in itself is a pretty interesting number considering that there used to be well over 20,000 new car dealers in the U.S. not too many years back.

Through November 2014, the "Big 3" are back in line leading the way with GM, Ford and Chrysler. The next 3 include Toyota, Honda and Nissan in that order. That's a pretty big shift over the previous few years as domestics have stepped up to plate to get back into the race. 

Even though there are fewer new car dealers now compared to a decade ago, sales are on the rise! Overall new car sales rose 7.5% from 2012 to 2013 and current, through November, new car sales are up 5.4% over 2013. These numbers are pretty impressive and actually, since 2010, each year has shown increases overall.

As a matter of fact, N.A.D.A. says that their "Optimism versus New Vehicle Sales" Report numbers have been steadily climbing as well since 2010 to support these overall sales increases. Another astonishing fact that shocked me was that New Vehicle Net Profits are also up since 2011, increasing each year after a previous decline of five years.

Why are these statistics important?.....

Quite simply, as more "iron" hits the road, the more opportunities there are for Service and Parts Departments. Fixed Operations have also followed suit with the New Vehicle Sales increases as total Dealer Fixed Operations Sales rose 5% from 2012 to 2013 at a whopping $84.6 Billion Dollars. Many believe that 2014 will surpass this mark as well, currently tracking at a 4.8% increase through November 2014.

Overall, the Fixed Operations may only account for 11.6% of total dealer sales thus far in 2014, but when you consider the gross retention side of the equation, that's whole different ball game. Those percentages are much higher as represented in substantial increases in "Fixed Coverage" and overall "Service Absorption" in many dealers over the past few years. 

In my opinion, the opportunities ahead are as good as I've seen in my 35 years in the business. The opportunities are always good, but it's not that easy when you compare these new opportunities to some in the past. Competition has always played a role, but retention is where it's at. We need to get our customers coming back.

If we don't have the right people following the right processes, all these new opportunities fall by the wayside. I have met, trained and coached Fixed Operation Managers over the years and if there's one thing that I hear most often from the "seasoned" veterans out there is..."Dave, it just doesn't seem as easy as it used to be..."

This is what separates the "good from the great" as the ones who are great take the necessary means to keep up with people, process, accountability and on going training/coaching. It never stops and will always be on going.

As a third party to the dealer, we have definitely seen a rise in the dealers' interest in training and coaching in 2014. In the car business, we all know that there are "waves" that are cyclical in nature and it's upon us again. Training and Coaching is coming back to the fore front.

As I mentioned earlier, there are 17,665 new car dealers in the United States, not counting our friends to the north in Canada. In 2014, ACG's "Active Contact List" of New Car Dealers has risen to 22.6% in just one of our social media venues. These are also key indicators that follow earlier trends mentioned.

For all my "Smart Parts" Readers out there?...

Strap yourself in because 2015 is right around the corner and even though we are wrapping up another great year at ACG "Smart Parts", we are also poised and ready for our "Best Year Ever"!! Numbers don't lie and these statistics represent another great year is upon us!!


Are You Ready?.....


Dave Piecuch is the Vice President of Automotive Consultants Group Inc. and is the Head Coach for Smart PartsTMThe only "Results Based" High Return Training, Coaching, and Consulting company in the world!  Dave can be reached at Cell 786-521-1720 or E-mail at dave@smartservicetraining.com Vist our Website at www.smartpartstraining.com